Hit Coffee is the story of Will Truman, a southern
transplant that has been moving around from one part of the country to the
next. This site is a collection of reflections
on the goings-on in his life and in the world around him. You will probably
be relieved to know that he does not generally refer to himself in the
third-person except when he's writing short bios on his web page.
Greetings from Callie, Arapaho, an unassuming town in the mountain west
where the population increase of two might just be considered statistically
significant.
Nothing written on this site should be taken as strictly true, though
if the author were making it all up rest assured the main character
and his life would be a lot less unremarkable.
This website is maintained by Guy "Web" Webster,
aka WebGuy, who also contributes from time to time.
Web hails from the midwest and currently lives
in Truman's home city of Colosse, Delosa. He works as a utility IT person at
Southern Tech University, their alma mater.
Also contributing is Sheila Tone (stone) a West Coaster, breeder, and lawyer
who has probably hooked up with some loser just like you and sees through
your whole pathetic little act.
The Iron Man movie, which exceeded everyone’s expectations both in terms of quality and revenue, was apparently created without a script. What does that say about all of the movies that are so much worse that actually had a script? Should we just remove scriptwriters from the process altogether?
All of this is interesting, I guess. But the part of attraction and desire that I find interesting is not the universality but rather the particularism. Why do I find some actresses in Hollywood with perfect waist-hip ratios and symmetrical faces extremely attractive while finding others with perfect waist-hip ratios and symmetrical faces considerably less so?
The notion that exercise is the way to weight loss has taken a lot of hits lately. And no, saying “it doesn’t count if you eat it all back” isn’t a sufficient counterargument because exercising makes you want to eat more. For all of the talk of the role of what our sedentary lifestyles have played in our obesity problem, it seems to me that much more of the problem comes back to our intake.
I collect pictures of people in superhero costumes for my screensaver slideshow. It became pretty obvious early on that a good portion of the pics I was collecting were from homosexual quarters.
In a shocking development, it turns out that not all marriages are equally good for your health and that stressful marriages are bad for it. In other news, most or all of the “happiness deficit” among those with kids can be attributed to those that were ambivalent or conflicted (one wanting kids, the other not) about having kids. Oh wait, that part doesn’t tend to make it into the news…
Loneliness can be as bad for us as smoking and obesity. That’s why we need to stigmatize the obese. It will make them thinner, which in turn will make them more popular. Which in turn will make them healthier.
Is there no such thing as a hot streak in sports? Even though I’m not particularly superstitious, I find that surprising. Not because I believe that the gods watch over us when we’re hot, but because there is so much psychological in athletics that being hot tends to produce more confidence which produces better results. Huh.
I am of the school of thought that almost all of our political, moral, and theological views come from our innate personalities and our experiences rather than any genuine evaluation of the issues involved. So what do I make of the evolution of morals? Good question.
That we have far too many humanities majors for the job market to bear is no surprise. What is a surprise is that people were raising fears that the opposite may be true as recently as 1989.
When I was a kid they used to say “you are what you eat.” Some people never outgrew that, apparently.
For the past few weeks I’ve been telling people a story that ends with “and now her life is RUINED, thanks to …!” (I redacted names — it just seemed like a cautionary tale people had to hear.) As often happens with dramatic cautionary tales, I just found out the facts are wrong.
A lady I know (not a client) told me she’d been taking her 17-year-old daughter to get Depo-Provera birth control shots. Her daughter got pregnant anyway. And since she was on this supposedly foolproof method of birth control, she didn’t notice the early warning signs of pregnancy. They didn’t figure it out until she was 16 weeks pregnant. At that point, they considered it too late to terminate the pregnancy (you still can, but it’s a more complicated procedure). So now this high school student is stuck having a baby with a 21-year-old unemployed guy who lives with his parents.
You can see how this would agitate me. Not only did the shot not work, it caused detrimental reliance! And this was a high school student! I’m usually suspicious of claims that a pregnancy happened despite best efforts at birth control, but this one seemed credible. And it’s not like I could check it out on Snopes before passing it on.
Turns out the girl lied to her mom. Although her mom often took her for the shots, this time she’d said she’d go herself — and didn’t. She finally broke down and told her mother. She was trying to get pregnant.
Here’s the kicker: It was the guy’s idea. This is a planned pregnancy. A very lame plan, but still.
Unfortunately, I’ve been unwittingly slandering poor Depo-Provera for the past few weeks any time I could work it into a conversation. See, stories like this are why I suspect birth control in general is a lot more reliable than either anecdotal evidence or the figures indicate. I think it’s pretty common for people who have an unplanned (or poorly planned) pregnancy to claim they were using birth control to save face.
I particularly think condoms are a lot more reliable than they get credit for. In high school sex ed, they made it sound like no birth control method was substantially reliable except abstinence (except the Pill which had horrible, horrible side effects), but that using a condom was practically like using nothing. I’ve seen figures as low as 70 percent reliability. And I’ve known women who got pregnant who claimed they were using condoms — but then when I asked a few more questions, it turned out they weren’t always using them.
A while back, Herb Kohl (D-WI) was wanting the government to get involved with NBC’s (mis)handling of the Olympic Games. To which, James Joyner responds:
The Olympics are not a public good. There’s no right whatsoever to see them unless you’ve paid for a ticket.
The initial problem here is that the Olympics proclaim themselves to be something of a public good. It’s not really a private affair. While NBC has the right to do with its broadcasting rights whatever it wishes, if the Olympics were what they proclaim to be, they would make sure that clauses included not just gobs and gobs of money, but also a certain level of accessibility. But the Olympics simply isn’t what it claims to be and there’s not much to be done. I’d leave it at that if Joyner hadn’t gone on to say:
Nor, for that matter, am I a fan of exclusivity deals. It’s annoying, for example, that the only way for me to watch Dallas Cowboys games that don’t happen to be on my local FOX affiliate is to subscribe to NFL Sunday Ticket, which in turn requires me to be a DirecTV customer. But, again, the NFL doesn’t owe me anything. I’m free to choose to take what they give me for free or to be held hostage to a single television provider; I’ve opted for the latter.
Here again we have an organization that proclaims itself as a public good when it’s convenient but then gets to nitty-gritty profit protection even at the expense of what would benefit the public. When it comes time to hold a team for ransom unless the taxpayers foot the bill for a nice new stadium, we get to hear about how much good the NFL does a community or a city. But then when it comes to cracking down on fans that use slogans not invented by the NFL or churches that fund-raise with Superbowl parties, well we all have to understand that they are a private business. Which, of course, they are. They are not the public good that they represent themselves as being.
The difference between the NFL and the Olympics, though, is that the NFL (along with MLB and NBA) relies on government and the people to do what they need to do. From the people they demand money for new stadia. From the government, they demand and receive broadcasting anti-trust exemptions. For them to demand anti-trust exemptions, in my mind they have certain obligations. By that I don’t mean “Give away all your games for free!” but I do mean that they ought to stop restrain from using their position as the nation’s premier football league in order to maximize profits at the expense of access in virtually all cases.
Exclusivity deals are a part of that. I half-believe that we’re headed to a future where the Superbowl is going to be a PPV event. They allow us to watch some games for free on network television and through various providers we can watch even more games with cable. Increasingly, though, the real money is with exclusive contracts. Not like with NBC and the Olympics, where nearly everybody gets NBC. And the same really goes with ESPN. The issue is with DirecTV, who pays a fortune not just to be able to show all the games, but to be the only one that is. Offering games on networks and cable is win/win because it increases availability and profit. The NFL’s arrangement with DirecTV increases one very much at the expense of the other.
The games have to be played on some network(s), but the availability of the network in question should be as much a factor as dollars and sense if they are to be a public good. The benefit that the consumer gets from the NFL’s relationship with ABC is pretty concrete. The benefit of their relationship with DirecTV only works if you believe that what’s good for the NFL is inherently and always good for the NFL fan.
Beyond that, the NFL’s restriction on the number of teams it has is another example. Right now there are 32 teams in a nation of roughly 310 million. That is the worst ratio the NFL has ever had and at every decade marker since the NFL-AFL merger in 1970 that ratio has gotten worse. This despite the fact that there are more avenues than ever for games to be shown on television. Cities considerably larger than NFL host cities were when they had teams do not get a team (and no, I’m not just referring to Los Angeles). Even now, there are cities without teams that are notably larger than cities with them (and not just New Orleans or Buffalo). In fact, there are between 7 and 10 markets larger than the bottom five current host cities. So why do the host cities still have those teams? In some cases because they got them when they were more vibrant locales (New Orleans, Buffalo) and or because of an intense potential fan-base (Jacksonville)
I see very little reason to believe that the NFL could not expand by a good half-dozen teams and maintain profitability. It’s not hard to figure out why they’re not itching to do so. The fewer teams, the less competition. The less the big market teams have to subsidize smaller-market teams so that the latter can stay competitive or split their own market. The easier it is to blackmail cities into building them stadiums or else they’ll move. The model is working for them. That doesn’t mean that it’s working for us.
I pick on the NFL mostly because it’s the most profitable. The others have pretty good excuses. The NBA is hemorrhaging money at the moment, the NHL learned the hard way how regional their sport is, and Major League Baseball has other problems on its plate. On the other hand, adding a half-dozen new teams would take a lot of the focus off of… other goings-on.
A while back, Web lamented the state of our current schools:
The incoming admissions staff at the University of Waterloo have a problem with what they are seeing from their prospective students. Articles like these have been fairly common in the past fifteen years or so, and a backlash against some of the worst methods of teaching (especially the “whole language” nonsense and the idea of “open plan” schools) is slowly taking root.
I can’t speak for whole learning and open learning, both of which I am skeptical of, but some “experimental teaching methods” can actually be quite effective in smaller, closed environments. Particularly high-trust environments. The same applies for schools that don’t grade students, unschooling, and a host of other things that excited educators.
However, quick and obvious problems can appear when you try to do these things large-scale. It’s similar to the way that homeschooling lends itself to methodology that wouldn’t work in classrooms where the teacher doesn’t have intimate knowledge of all of the students and the differences in development in students can be quite profound. In other words, there are plans that can be extremely effective one-on-one that can get completely lost in a classroom.
A lot of pilot programs fall into this trap. The pilot programs work because you have a limited number of students often self-selected by involved parents being taught by teachers self-selected to the program. So impressive numbers can be turned in at first, but then when you try to get other teachers that aren’t on-board teaching students of uninvolved parents, the kids end up much further behind than they would be with a more standard curriculum.
Further, some of these methods were never actually successful in the first place. Or rather, they were successful because you had motivated teachers and motivated parents motivating their children and not because of the particular teaching style involved.
I’m a pretty big fan of charter schools and the like where you can try new and different things particularly for those parents and teachers that want to be involved with it. When it comes to the general student population, though, I am something of a traditionalist with those somewhat boring lesson plans, icky standardized tests, and even a degree of rote memorization.
The problem with these methods is that they are often ill-suited to two groups: the intelligent and the education enthusiast (ie those that like learning for the sake of learning). The problem is that the educational establishment consists primarily of these people*. They find themselves thinking “School would have been cooler and much more interesting if we’d done X” when what they mean is “School would have been cooler for people like me if we’d done X.” These people are outliers and they can be wrong to begin with if what they hated about school was actually somewhat effective.
It’s sort of like college. College, as they say, is not for everybody. A lot of people, particularly among Sigmoids and on the right more generally, want to delineate by intelligence. I think that’s only part of the equation, however. The other part is temperament. There are some really intelligent people that just don’t have the temperament for college. They lack a broad, abstract thirst for knowledge. They don’t enjoy learning for the sake of learning. They got by and did well in K-12 simply because there were simple metrics to meet. The more intelligent they are, the less they even had to try.
But college success is determined less by metrics (though those obviously count, too) and more by enthusiasm. This was why I did better in college while my ex-girlfriend Julianne, just as intelligent as me, struggled. She was and is uninterested in how the world works and school for her was all about metrics. She had no enthusiasm, so she did what she always did which was the minimal amount required. Gauging the minimum required in college is much more difficult at the college level than the high school level and it’s harder to self-correct because by the time you realize you’re in trouble, it’s too late. An honors student in high school, she flunked out of three colleges.
People like me, meanwhile, were made for college. In High School, it was drilled into me that college was going to be this extraordinarily challenging place where you were going to get flushed out if you didn’t really try. This concerned me because I didn’t really try in high school. But once I got to college, I did really well. The places where I struggled tended to be the ones where the classroom structure was more like high school. The places where I excelled were the ones where I had enthusiasm and the studying took care of itself.
I think that the education experts tend to be more like me. They look back at their earlier learning experiences with a sense of loss because they didn’t like it and often didn’t even realize they enjoyed learning (for the sake of learning) until they got into a more free-ranging environment in college. So they ask themselves, “What can I do to make sure the next generation doesn’t dislike school as much as I did?” and come up with all sorts of wacky answers. Wacky answers that sometimes would have worked for them, sometimes would not have, but don’t carry over to the general population.
This is where I think charter schools and homeschooling and other more experimental methods can come into play. If you take a class full of intelligent people, they may succeed in either a metrics-based or more open learning environment, but they will enjoy the latter more and it will often better position them to keep learning as they get older. But it can be a disaster when it comes to the general population where, the more open the environment and less metrics-based the environment, the less they really have to do. And the less they will do.
Gradeless education is perhaps the best example of this. Taking the focus away from grades in a high-trust environment can be a godsend. It removes a grand distraction and lets kids focus on learning. This assumes, of course, that kids want to learn. I think that this is often more true than the pessimists suspect, but it really isn’t the case with most young people. So grades are the only way to get them to learn. So they don’t learn. Learning by duress (under threat of a bad grade if they don’t) may not be ideal, but it’s better than nothing.
Standardized tests are another issue along these lines. There really is no argument against standardized testing that does not also apply to grading students on teacher or textbook derived tests. Standardized tests can and do get in the way of teaching and learning, but without any sort of metric you are giving teachers the same sorts of incentives you’re giving students if you don’t grade them. Some will teach no matter what, but a whole lot will do what’s required of them. That, by the way, would be essentially nothing.
A recent study by Teach For America did an analysis of what makes a great teacher and determined. While the goal was to figure out how to “make” more great teachers, the conclusions they came to are really things that only the most highly motivated people will do. Without metrics, there is little motivation for anybody but the enthusiastic. Enthusiasm on the part of teachers should not be and cannot be assumed. We should give great teachers the lattitude they need to do their job, but that should take place in charter schools and perhaps vouchered private schools or there should be a way to measure their progress against those of the average teacher with more structured requirements placed on their classrooms.
If there is no way that we can fairly measure their effectiveness, then they need to be placed somewhere that parents have a choice of whether or not they want their kids taught by an unaccountable but possibly fantastic teacher. For those parents that do not have a choice in where to send their kids, however, I think that the system has to assume that teachers will primarily respond to whatever incentives they have. That means you need incentives. If not standardized tests, then at least something other than the teachers’ and administration’s assurances that the kids are being taught.
I am a systems guy and have a general preference for systems that don’t rely on exceptional or internally-driven individuals and don’t rely on subjective evaluations drawn up by people with a vested interest in the reported outcome. If implementing such a system ties the hands of would-be outstanding teachers, I think that’s a fair price to pay for motivating the internally unmotivated. You’re typically going to get a lot more of the latter than the former.
That’s one of the things that impresses me about the Direct Instruction method, which unlike other teaching fads proposes (a) system-based, non-feel good solutions and (b) posts results that appear to be scalable because (c) they don’t rely on exceptional instructors. It’s that last part that makes people dislike the system. One of the common responses is that if you take autonomy away from the teacher you’re just going to get bad teachers. In my view, if you create a system good enough that the quality of the teacher doesn’t matter as much, it can still be a positive experience.
I realize that sort of thing is not for everybody and great teachers and un-metric kids may not particularly excel in that environment. That’s where charter schools and the like come in to play. Within reasonable limitations, provided that the parents want to send their kids there and the teachers want to be there, I really don’t see a problem loosening the reins. For everybody else: Systems, systems, systems. Even if it’s a system that I would have hated growing up.
* - Say what you will about the average intelligence of the average public school teacher, those that stick to education theory and become influential enough to set education policy are a different breed and do qualify as intelligent individuals. What could be argued, though, that what they have in intelligence can be negated and reversed by a lack of common sense and lack of interest in grounded thought and empiricism.
The Santa Clara County Board of Supervisors voted to ban fast-food meals with toys, such as Happy Meals, unless they change to meet nutritional guidelines set forth by the board.
Santa Clara is south of San Francisco in the area known as Silicon Valley. The board’s members appear to be all white, except for one guy with a Japanese surname.
“This ordinance prevents restaurants from preying on children’s’ love of toys” to sell high-calorie, unhealthful food, said Supervisor Ken Yeager, who sponsored the measure. “This ordinance breaks the link between unhealthy food and prizes.”
Upper-class white people hate McDonald’s. I think this is because they look down upon the people who like it most. This includes busy working parents and single parents, who need to save time feeding their kids. That’s why I ate a lot of McDonald’s growing up — it was easy for my dad to drive through after work. My brother and I did not get fat, maybe because we were active. Or maybe because a 250-calorie burger and one of those soft-serve hot fudge sundaes twice a week wasn’t really that bad for us.
But they don’t hate all fast food. For instance, they love IN-N-OUT Burger ( menu here). It’s just as unhealthy as McDonald’s, but the marketing isn’t kid-friendly. They affect a California-beachy attitude in their marketing. And for some reason there are always lots of young white people working there.
Reading a story about a young cop that goofed up, Dave thinks that we should have a minimum age for cops.
It’s an interesting idea. My main concern is the negative effect it would have on recruitment because what are they supposed to do in the meantime? The military is the most obvious option. Security work is another obvious fillgap, though it can be hard to get by on the kind of money we pay entry-level security guards. Particularly if there is a family, and one observation I had with the Phillippi Police Department outside of Colosse was that cops had a tendency to marry and reproduce at pretty young ages. It seems that most of the obvious places they could go, except the military or perhaps working as a guard at a prison, is quite a bit to ask of people to do for 5-10 years when they know that it’s not something they plan to advance in. Or maybe they will advance and decide not to become cops.
In the current economy, as Dave points out, this is not likely to be an issue. Police work can pay pretty well, it’s steady, and it comes with a sweet pension. Dave is also right that in departments like the one in the cited article where the danger is minimal this is less of an issue.
In fact, one of the things I noticed about the Oakwood Police Department, which served the townlets of West Oak and East Oak where I was raised, was that there were no young cops. They tended to hire from other departments. You work for a while in the Colosse Police Department or Colosse County Sheriff’s Department and then you get hired on where the chief requirements are diplomacy and a steady hand. I think that the main thing that the OPD and similar departments are considering is experience, but the maturity that comes with age is probably also a consideration.
I know that there are at least a couple ways to become a cop. If you get hired by a large department like the Colosse Police (pop >1mil) Department or even the Phillippi Police Department (pop >100k) run their own academies. With Colosse in particular, below a certain (pretty high) rank, you have to go through the city’s academy. Delosa’s second largest city, Delianapolis, has no such requirement. For a while the DPD would have billboards posted in Colosse trying to pick off CPD officers. There was talk a couple of years ago of the CPD changing their policy, though I don’t know what became of it.
I had a flat tire at Southern Tech University back when I was a student. A University Police Department officer helped me out with it and we talked in the meantime. He had apparently gone to an independent academy and had run up head-first into the CPD policy wherein if he wanted to become a Colosse cop he would have to go through the academy all over again. The UPD had no such requirement, so that’s where he joined. He eventually wanted to relocate to the Colossean suburb where he was raised, but they, like Oakwood, wanted you to cut your teeth somewhere else.
As kind of an aside, one ambitious constable of one of Colosse’s worst sectors, Lucas Horton, assembled a mostly-volunteer department or Reserve Deputies (”Rangers”). Due to the local politics of the area, the Colosse PD kept a sort of hands-off approach unless called. Patrols avoided the area and arrest warrants were going unserved. The area was developing a vigilantism problem. So he let weekend warriors everywhere know that if you wanted to be a cop he would let you do real police work (including felony warrants). The Rangers had to pay for their own training through one of the independent academies (as well as pay for your uniform, equipment, etc.).
If Constable Lucas Horton’s success (albeit controversial success) is any indication, it’s hard to see how an age limit would act as a deterrent. And in the current economy it’s pretty unlikely that any department will have any difficulty recruiting officers. In the longer term it might be more iffy, especially if the economy picks up. I’d be interested in knowing more about what percentage of current officers are former military and/or did something else for a while before going into the academy.
This is why the concept of “dating market value” based exclusively on appearance is not only crap, but dangerous. Phoebe Prince was pretty. She apparently thought that ought to be worth something. Fat lot of good it did her. The guys she got together with either found or got back together with girlfriends, then turned on her, and egged on their girlfriends’ bulldog-faced girl buddies against her.
Seriously: If you’re in a group setting and you’re not already popular, do not bother with sex or anything sex-related. Don’t bother trying to look or act like someone anyone would want to have sex with, whether they’re popular or not, or you actually have the sex or not. You can’t handle the trouble that comes with attention.
The social world is about competition. Now, you might think that by being sexually attractive, you’re adding value to a situation, and people would be thankful and treat you well. You’re wrong. What you’re really doing is competing for a share of limited resources, and competition means conflict. Conflict sucks when you’re outnumbered.
Who do you suppose will take your side in the conflict? The guys you hooked up with? Wrong. Forget about any pleasantness after some other female attaches herself to them. How nasty they’ll be depends on her wishes.
But if you’re pretty, the guys you hooked up with will stay with you, right? Probably not. Life attached to an unpopular person really sucks. This is true regardless of the attractiveness of the person with whom you got together. So drop the little high school movie pipe dream about that unpopular guy with the heart of gold who worships you.
What about the guys you wouldn’t hook up with? You know better than to even ask. They’re mad. And now they know they don’t even have to be nice.
Your girlfriends? Let’s see, do you really have any? Of the women who’ll hang around you in any capacity: Do guys like them? Probably not, or there’d be that critical mass of at least two of you who looked good and had each other’s back, and you’d be popular. So why the hell would they stick their necks out to help you out of the trouble you got into because guys liked you?
This isn’t just high school garbage. This applies anywhere there are groups, anywhere being outside a group can hurt you. It happens at work, too. And it happens whether you actually let anyone touch you or not. If you say no, they’ll resent and retaliate. If you say yes, well, go back to the part about when they get a girlfriend. If you say no — same result with the later girlfriend. Especially if she’s management. How well I know.
And it’s not really about being loose or not. So stop trying to figure out how far Phoebe Prince went with whom at what time. Popular people do sleazy stuff all the time. Understand that it doesn’t matter what you actually do. “Slut” isn’t really a moral condemnation in that situation. It’s just shorthand for “You lost.”
To recap: Being sexually attractive does not get you power in a group setting. It is only for people who are powerful already. You’ve got no business with it otherwise. Dog yourself up, gain weight, and find asexual girlfriends to chat about TV shows with.
My friend Bob sent me this link a while back when I was talking about our (delayed) car hunt:
Granted, this is an internal Subaru video, but it’s quite impressive. One of the main reasons that we’re leaning towards Subaru is that neither Clancy nor I have much ice-driving experience. I drove in the snow and ice when I was living in Deseret, but it was almost entirely freeway driving. We’re probably going to get studded tires for Clancy’s car for the winter months. Depending on whether we decide to stay in Arapaho and depending on our experiences there, we may go AWD for all of our vehicles or we may just make sure to have one. The biggest issue, besides local driving, is that the nearest major city to our soon-to-be home is Gazelem, Deseret’s capital city. I also may want to take trips to Deseret to visit our friends out there. It’s a tough road.
If anybody has any similar videos or some good AWD tests in which Subaru is out-performed, please share them. The only one I’ve found is a Swedish video in which the Subaru was out-done by an Audi, which is out of our price range. I tend to have a little more faith in Subaru than in Toyota and Honda and the like because Subaru does AWD almost exclusively whereas for most of the competitors AWD is just an option they have. Ford brags on TV that they have more AWD models than any of the competition, so I might give them a gander.
Ford has, of course, been on a real uptick lately with an increasing reputation for reliability and a lot of good will since they didn’t need the government bailout. It would figure that right about the time I move away from Ford that they become cool again.
An interesting study asks if introverts are really people that sense the world differently, namely by being extrasensitive to internal and external stimuli. There’s certainly something about that which feels right, but if introversion is related to an attention to details, then I would have to be an extrovert extraordinaire. Of course, some days I feel like I am an extrovert that just happened to have my extroversion beat out of me at a very young age. On the other hand, it could be that my brain processes so many details that the most obvious ones ellude me. That’s a pretty self-satisfying interpretation.
I’m pretty skeptical of the President’s plan to increase CAFE standards, but the good news is that more cars will meet them than you might think.
The unfortunate fate of kids that age out of the foster system. Some call for support not to cease when they turn 18. Might be worth trying, though I’m skeptical that a lot of these ships can be steered right. On the other hand, their problems often become our problems.
Reihan Salam makes a good and understated point. There’s unemployment, which is bad. And there is unemployment becoming a way of life on up the socioeconomic food chain, which is far worse.
Some parents in Utah are accusing their local school district and BYU of engaging in a “socialist conspiracy.” Their crime? Taking the position that the United States government gets its power from the people rather than from God.
The outlook for Net Neutrality may not be as bad as some have feared.
While the governments of the United States insert their dirty little hands into our haircutting industry with atrocious regulation (my grandfather was a barber, this sort of thing really irks me), Cuba liberalizes theirs.
Our benevolent government has taken a more oppositional stance against claims of Big Media about how much piracy is hurting their business.
I should have known it was the Census bureau when both my home phone and cell phone went off. They’re the only ones that have the Google Voice number assigned to go to both numbers. When I picked up, some recording was talking to me about a guy named {recorded} Alex {end recorded} calling. My cell phone was still ringing and I hoped that by picking up that one I could start over and figure out what the heck was going on. Sure enough, I picked up the cell phone and it started over again. I hung up the landline, terminating both calls. Fortunately, Alex left a message. Transcribed by Google Voice as the following:
Hello, this is for we yam Truman this is Alan with the Census office calling to conform details about tomorrow’s training for career position. It’s gone a bee from 1 to 5, but it’s ass teeth job services or not, Samarai at the job services address is, 821 East 9th Street North if we should I bring your ideas and we’ll see you tomorrow. Give us ache all if you have any question. 869-1419.
I don’t think that I’m going to make a habit of posting GoogleVoice transcriptions because it’s impressive how much they get right. Even so, anything containing “ass teeth” and “Samarai” I figured was worthy of note. Anyway, here was the actual message:
Hello, this is for William Truman. This is Alex with the Census office calling to confirm details about tomorrow’s training for courier position. It’s gonna be from 1 to 5, but it’s at the job services and not at the Marriot. The job services address is 821 E. 9th St North. Be sure to bring your ID and we’ll see you tomorrow. Give us a call if you have any questions. 869-1419.
I turned off the call screening. The fact that terminating the call on one phone terminates it on the other could be a problem. We’ll have to see how that plays out.
When I was a younger lad, I knew this girl named Cheryl Krater. She was nothing to write home about it. She was pretty chunky, mean as an ox, and curiously and unbelievably somewhat popular.
I never really understood it. She wasn’t even mean in a charismatic way. She was mean in a just plain mean way. She thought she was better than everyone except her friends, but somehow she ran with the “in” crowd and always had a lot of people around her (rarely boys, though).
When I was in high school, there was a girl named Candace Lambert. Candace’s date to the prom (who was a mildly overweight schlub and nothing to brag about and beneath the generally affable Candace - the picture at the top of this post is a crude approximation of their respective presence and the mismatch) was unceremoniously arrested. Though he got out in time to go to prom, she had to scramble for a date at the last minute. He refused to go with her because, he told people, she was kind of a “b*tch about the whole thing”. I don’t know if she succeeded in finding another date or not.
Then of course, there was my high school friend Mick. Mick was a self-centered, racist, uncharismatic oaf. When it came time for prom, he never did get a date. He ended up watching rentals with his parents that night.
I mention Mick, Candace, and Cheryl because they all tie in with the last job I ever had in Colosse at a company called Bregna.
I had been unemployed for nearly five months by that point. All that time, there’d been an employer that I was pretty sure would hire me. I was always reluctant to ever mention it to anybody because I could imagine them thinking that I was unserious about my job hunt if there was a job for the taking. I didn’t have to keep quiet among IT people, though. They all knew of Bregna.
Bregna would have hired me because they always had a deficit of employees. They always had a deficit of employees because they scare them off like an old lady in a witch hat does preschoolers. By some estimations, nearly one in three IT people in the Colosse area (a very large pool of people) worked for Bregna at one time or another or at least resigned themselves to interviewing there.
To say that they’re anal is an understatement. I had worked for odd people before. Bregna was a category unto itself, though. Bregna monitors just about everything you do. Every four months you have to do an in-depth self-appraisal and if your appraisal is insufficient, you will be canned.
It’s as steril as the IMF headquarters in the Mission Impossible movie.
Here’s the thing, though: They pay. They pay well, all things considered. I needed something that pays well, if only for a little while.
So I decided to apply for a job with Bregna. My roommate turned in a referral (to give you an idea of how desperate they are for warm bodies, they give him $1500 if I work there for over four months) and then… nothing. I call them back and ask the status, they say they’ll call me and then… nothing.
I didn’t feel rejected or anything. It took them a whopping 5 interviews and six weeks to hire my roommate. But when I talked to my roommate Karl about it, he said that I’d have to pester them.
So I would have to beg for a job I have absolutely no excitement for with a company that I knew would make me miserable.
That’s what got me thinking about Candace, Cheryl, and Mick. The only analogy I could come up with was putting myself in Candace’s shoes, where you have high standards (which she did, her date notwithstanding) but because of a certain situation, she had to lower them drastically to find someone. Then I think of Mick, who never lowered his expectation and watched videos on prom night.
I think of myself in Candace’s shoes, scrambling for a date - any date! - and having to lower my expectations and taking back the guy who had a stint in jail or spending the night at home watching videos.
Then I thought of Cheryl.
It felt like I’d been dumped right before prom, and that I had to find a date - any date! - to avoid digging into my savings when unemployment runs out. The only people I could get a job with is Bregna, the only date I could get is the guy that went to jail. The alternative was brokedness and watching videos on prom night. It felt like I was reduced to asking Cheryl Krater, that annoying wench of a girl (and anyone that knows me knows I don’t use those words loosely), to go to prom with me to avoid the fate of Mick.
But I did anyway. I applied. Again.
But having applied, having not heard back, and being informed that I was going to need to pester them, made me feel like I had reduced myself to asking out Cheryl Krater and to which she responded, “You know I will probably go with you to prom,” followed by, “But you’re going to have to beg.”
I’m getting caught up on the TV show “V”. If you haven’t seen the first episode since it restarted this (or was it last?) month, spoiler alert and all that. If you don’t know diddly squat about the show (or really care, for that matter), that’s what I’m assuming as I write this so feel free to read forward.
In the opening episode of the second half of the season, the Queen of the Visitors (an alien race with nefarious intentions with us humans) decided to procreate an army. Not much is known about how the V’s do procreate, but it isn’t all that hard to guess knowing what little we do about them. One of her minions lines up a bunch of studly men and she picks one and the rest go walk off.
The actual procreation scene takes place at the end of the episode, a somewhat ominous sign in and of itself. The guy is laying there naked (smoke covering what needs to be covered) as she walks in and prepares. The stud looks nervous, which could simply be because he is in the sole presence of the queen. But you know it’s not that. You know that in some alien society wherein the woman has that much power, it’s never good to be the dude that she decides to procreate with. You’re not going to end up like Prince Philip, not a king but still an accessory to the queen in a society that values kings and queens alike. No, things never end well for you if you’re that dude. you’re going to get eaten like a preying mantis. The only question is whether you get eaten before, during, or after procreation.
I’m not positive why this convention exists at least to the point that I, no big scifantasy fan, am aware of it enough to feel at least a little sorry for the stud. If we’re supposed to be shocked or horrified, it doesn’t really work. I suppose it’s supposed to tell us that these people (presented as immaculate but cold) are savages(!!!!) or something of the like. From an internal plot standpoint, one could make the case that the Queen cannot let the stud live lest her power be threatened by the father of the army. I assume that’s the internal rationale they went with. Stretches credibility, though, because their society is so rigid and hierarchical (absent “contamination” due to contact with those dreadfully “empathetic” human) it’s impossible to imagine any sort of coup.
The answer to the before/during/after question is “after.” The guy, nervous throughout, seems a bit surprised as she lunges to eat him.
He should spend less time being a stud and more time being a geek. Then he would have seen in coming.
The job market in Arapaho is, to say the least, somewhere south of desirable. I knew this when we moved there. Looking up local jobs, a good portion of them were with the Census Bureau. It was an interesting idea, working for the USCB. A temporary job with a definite endpoint. A way to go out and meet people. There were worse ways to spend my time.
Upon arriving, I dragged my feel a little bit because I wanted to get settled in and I was not sure of the wisdom of being a government agent (such as it is) in a relatively anti-government part of the country. Okay, so that was a pretty ridiculous concern. But I also had visions of the only people not having turned in their census being people less than entirely useful to meet. That was why I asked a while back what y’all’s status on the matter was.
In the end, I decided that the reasons not to do it were pretty illegitimate. So I called the 1-800 number and they set me up take The Test. I was expecting to have to go all the way out to Arapaho’s capital city, Alexandria, since that was where the nearest bureau office was, but apparently they set up a test here in Callie. This was good news insofar as it would save me five hours on the road. It was less than good news insofar as it increased the number of applicants and made it less likely that I was going to get a spot. The newspapers had been saying that they had received an unprecedented number of applications this year. Further, the guy I talked to on the phone said that I was among the last people they were testing and said that automatic priority was given to vets (of which I suspect there are a disproportionate number in Callie).
The sample questions for The Test were absurdly easy. One was “6.3x1.5=” and the possible answers were .945, 9.45, 94.5, or 945. That I could handle. I decided to take the practice test anyway and it was a good thing I did. I scored 25 out of 28, missing two of the three I missed do to an inability to read the question. There was only one guy that took the test with me. He confided that he was a retiree whose retirement had not worked out like he had planned. I hoped that if one of us got the job, it was him.
Having rediscovered the ability to read, I scored 28/28 on the test. The old guy scored 25. So to the extent that they made their decisions based on the score, I was golden. However, the recruiter said that what they end up doing is making a list and just calling everybody on it. If you’re home or call back on time, you get the job. If you don’t, you don’t. The question for my job prospects was whether they ordered them by how early they applied or by what they made on the test. As luck would have it, I had just gotten a Google Voice number that was set up to call both my home phone and cell phone. So wherever I was I should be able to answer.
Then I didn’t hear anything. In the interim, I wondered if maybe the fact that I had not turned in my own census form might have been a point against me. I hadn’t turned it in because I thought that I had already talked to a canvasser, but in the course of the introduction to The Test, I determined that I was part of the 2009 estimate rather than the full 2010 census.
In the meantime, I had been procrastinating over and over again going to the movies. I kept saying that I was going to in large part just to get a feel for the theater, but since the movies featured simply didn’t appeal to me or I had already seen them. So of course it was while I was watching Alice in Wonderland that they called. They left a message, which Google Voice transcribed as:
Yes this is Tom with the U. S. S. Office in Alaska candy trying to get a hold of Will Tom glue man and in regards to a job. The census is personally hiring a position of courier in your area. If you’re interested or if you’re not, please give us a jingle we can keep your name on the file. Call our phone number is 387 late 65 or 705 and if you when you call, give us some it’s Rick, In reference to job number is T dash threw through again. Our phone number is (387) 869-4705 and rep job reference number is. E. Dash to do. Have a nice evening William, bye.
Fortunately, when I listened to the message I understood that he was Tom from the Census office in Alexandria about a job with a reference number of T-22.
What struck out at me was that the job opening was for a courier. The possibility had never been mentioned throughout the process. I didn’t know if I was being considered for courier because I was at the top or the bottom of the pile. While the whole “meeting people” motivation for doing this would be negated if I was just driving around, the job honestly appealed to me a lot more. Getting paid to drive (presumably) to Alexandria and back daily while listening to audiobooks? Heck yeah!
The opening was still there when I called back. They asked me a few questions about my car, cell phone, and availability. Turned out that the job wasn’t driving to Alexandria and back but rather it’s going to be driving a big loop around Dent County. Even better! Should be more interesting, anyway. The downside was that the pay was not as good as for a canvasser, but the mileage reimbursement more than made up for it. Particularly since I drive a fuel-efficient vehicle. The hours were less than I had hoped and will have me working on weekends when Clancy is home and leave me free on weekdays when Clancy is here. But I can deal with that.
So I have a training-orientation next Tuesday in Alexandria. I should start the next weekend. Audiobooks are queueing up now.
One of the things some people are wondering about the Phoebe Prince case is where her friends were in all of this. The papers mention that she had some. Why didn’t they stick up for her? Do something for her?
This, to me, misunderstands the Third Dynamic of Unpopularity: When you’re unpopular, even your friends don’t have your back in any meaningful sense.
There was an unspoken rule among my friends that if one of us being targeted by Bully X, the main concern of the other friends is to try to stay as invisible as possible. It sounds cold, I know. But by and large it’s the only reasonable course of action. Standing up for your friend does not help them. Even taking the bullet meant for him doesn’t mean anything when they’ve got a loaded gun. They’ll get back to them as soon as they’re done with you.
I think I objected to this ethos at first. Why the hell was my friend just sitting there while this bully was being so mean to me? It wasn’t until the situations were reversed that I realized why. Just because I was getting crap did not mean that he needed to be getting it, too. Besides, he was getting it from people that didn’t know me. As his friend, the maximum preservation of his invisibility (at less cost to me than the alternative would be to him) was a generous act on my part.
Other than directly standing up to bullies, the main alternative would be to alert someone who can do something. That still contains the same drawbacks as personal involvement if they find out who tattled. Plus, before the administrator can do anything, they would need to talk to the victim of the bullying. That puts them on the spot. Either they say nothing and the issue dies (except that you’ve exposed yourself to the liability of Bully X finding out) or they say something and it’s just the same as if they went to the administration themselves. That enlarges the target on their back and if that’s what they had wanted to do they would have done it their own dang selves. All you did was remove the choice. Yes, they have the choice of saying nothing, but they could still be liable if Bully X finds out that they were even talking to administrator just to lie and deny that bullying was taken place.
Bullies are not reasonable. They are not typically justified in doing what they do. They don’t respect alliances between outcasts. If you fight back, they don’t care 1/100 as much as you do that you will both get suspended. They don’t care if you didn’t actually do what they think you mighta done. Once they notice you and decide who you are to them (a target), that’s all she wrote. The only way I ever found out of it is rank bribery and that only works with some.
“Today, the ongoing duel between radar-and-laser-detecting drivers and cash-strapped municipalities is about to become even more one-sided, as states are approving the use of automated, unattended speed cameras. But what most drivers don’t realize is that they never really stood a chance to begin with.”
MSN Auto has a really good and pretty thorough piece on speeding that’s a worthy read. The subject of traffic enforcement is a staple here at Hit Coffee, so much so that Web recently commented to me that if we weren’t careful, we could write a post about it every day. That we call our series of posts on it “Badged Highwaymen” should tell you where we stand. It’s important that people that are dangers on the road be held accountable, but enforcement as it currently exists is mostly a game of cat and mouse. According to MSN Auto, it’s a game that we the mice are going to lose. The technology is getting so good that we no longer have to be trapped by a cop car hiding behind a giant rock or sign anymore.
Now a part of me is sympathetic to mass enforcement of the law. Indeed, one of the big problems I have with enforcement as it currently exists is that it is sporadic and selective. If there were uniform enforcement of the law with a small but reasonable fine every time you were caught and insurance companies wouldn’t view someone with a ticket as though they are Luke and Bo Duke, I might actually object to it less. Instead we have sporadic enforcement so that when you get caught it catches the attention of the insurance companies which often operate under the assumption that if you were caught doing it once, you are probably doing it all the time. Of course, one big caveat to all of this would be that speed limits would need to be reasonable. And on a deeper level, I would have to be convinced that it really is about more than revenue-enhancement.
One of the reasons that I might be more amenable to more uniform enforcement is that it would probably force some changes on the drivers’ side. I don’t just mean getting us to slow down, though that would be part of it. Rather, I mean that if speed limits were uniformly enforced, you would start seeing a lot more actions on the side of the drivers to get speed limits up to more reasonable speeds. We would demand better and more frequent speed limit postings. And an industry would likely set up to help drivers in their task.
One of the problems with speed limits and speed limit enforcement is that a lot of speeders genuinely don’t intend to be speeding. My main fear with uniform enforcement (other than speed traps) is that it would penalize drivers who do not intend to do anything wrong, do not realize they are doing anything wrong, and would prefer not be doing anything wrong. It’s easy enough to say “Well they should be mindful of their speed” but frankly, if they’re going 30mph on a 25mph road, I would prefer that they be more mindful of the road.
I think that technology could provide a sort of solution for this. We’re already almost there. Some GPS systems actually have the speed limits on roads in the device. If you go over it, it turns red. It mostly pertains to freeways, but there is no reason that we can’t get to the point where all speed limits are included. And instead of it turning read, it bwoops whenever you’re speeding. Other than data volume concerns, which I believe will be addressed with time, the main concern would be data collection. How do they get all of those speed limits.
Now, one way of looking at it is that law enforcement agencies should be anxious to give their speed limits to the GPS makers because that would help reduce speeding. And since they’re not in it for the money, they should be glad to do so free of charge. Right? Getting real for a moment, I honestly think that making that data easily and freely available to the GPS-makers (and anyone else) ought to be another form of posting the speed limit. In other words, if they want to enforce the speed limit, they need to give out the data (or make sure that somebody else did). Otherwise, it’s an unposted speed limit and the speeder can get the charges dismissed on those grounds.
Tthis would come with its own costs in addition to data collection and disclosure on the part of the authorities. If successful, cities would lose a lot of revenue. They would need to raise local taxes. Everyone that gets less than the average number of tickets that thinks that they won’t still end up paying for some of the same things that tickets pay for now are deluding themselves. The money has to come from somewhere. There would be fewer traffic cops sitting around in expensive cars generating that revenue, though there would still be savings. But the speed cameras would have to be paid for.
Of course, all of this assumes that most drivers would, if given notification when they are speeding and reasonable speed limits, slow down. I think that this is true more often than some folks think. Some people like to feel smugly cynical and assume the worst of people, but the reasons that people speed now are plenty. A rule that isn’t regularly enforced isn’t really a rule and speed limits are not regularly enforced. Regularly enforce them and people will look at them differently. They will be more likely to demand that the rules be more fair and they will, because the alternative is a much higher likelihood of getting caught, follow the rules that are in place. People are more willing to follow the rules when they know that everybody else will, too. There’s nothing more frustrating than being the only guy on the road going the speed limit.
Piracy in Spain is apparently so bad that there may be no DVD market anymore. If this sort of thing spreads, it bodes poorly for the movie industry. Unlike the record industry and the publishing industry, we need a well-financed (and thus profitable) movie industry because we can’t expect some dude with a camera to do what some singer in a recording studio can. One constant thing I have said and believe is that it’s going to be hard to combat piracy when it is easier and provides a more flexible product than what you have to pay for. But there is simply no way the studios are ever going to make something more convenient than this.
I may have to get this book just so that I can learn more about Imposter Syndrome. I’m not a woman, but that struck a nerve with me.
A Catholic actor refuses to do any love scenes and is fired. I’ve seen him in Boomtown and he was one of the two best actors on that show. I wondered why I haven’t seen him in anything sense. I suspect this may have something to do with it.
An update on the cast of Battlestar Galactica. Two of the actors that I would have expected the most from, Michael Hogan (Captain Tigh) and Aaron Douglas (Chief Tyrol), have sadly not been up to much. Hogan really lost out when McCain didn’t become president. Douglas has a great everyman quality that should be put to better use than a Canadian TV show.
Speaking of geekery, the iPad has an application for Marvel. And it kinda pisses me off. And for once, I’m not blaming Apple. For years, the comic book companies told us justified price hike after price hike (from $1.25 in 2001 to $2.99 now) on the basis of the ever-escalating costs of paper and distribution. So when those to are cut out of the equation, comics cost… $1.99. At some point, they’re going to have to make an appeal to people other than their small, fanatical fanship. $1.99 for a digital copy isn’t going to do that.
Before I linked to the IIHS’s attempt to justify lower speed limits because they save lives. Today I link to the National Motorists Association’s claim that they can’t save lives if they “don’t affect motorist behavior.”
In a long discussion with Phi about the whole Phoebe Prince mess, the subject of friendships in the lower echelons of high school popularity. He commented that when he was younger he had friendships but no group of friends. It’s a distinction that I hadn’t actually put a whole lot of thought into. Thinking about my own experience, it’s not exactly true for me, but it’s at least as true or not.
I didn’t have a dearth of friends. I was fortunate to go to a school with over 4,000 students where simply numbers suggested that you would find someone you were compatible with. I actually did better than that, having at least someone I was friendly with in each class. Sometimes a group of people. Were they friends? Not exactly. But we were at least friendly acquaintances. Don’t get me wrong, I had genuine friends, too. Not a large number, but I never really wanted a large number.
And there were sort of groups. There was a group of us that would get to school at an ungawdly hour of the morning so that we could get a good parking space. My best friend Clint also had some friends that I was very friendly with. Andrea Carmine and that gang. But these were casual and makeshift groups and while I was friendly with them, with the exception of The Early Bird Club, the connection was pretty weak and through a bilateral friendship. I was friends with one of them and so I got to know them. The only way it would go beyond that is if I had a class with them and I rarely did (it was, after all, a school of 4,000). Never a group big enough and close enough that I would have a natural destination when entering a classroom or the lunchroom or whatever.
So when it came to actual groups, I was not hugely successful. Unless I had an ambassador conduits like Clint or Andrea, I had a lot of trouble breaking in. It’s pretty frustrating to look back on. Mostly because I really had no one but myself to blame. I didn’t have the social confidence yet I would eventually acquire. I lacked drive. I was a little too comfortable by myself.
Beyond that, I also failed to realize how to lay groundwork for group activities. I never participated in any extracurricular activities. I disliked Mayne High School with a passion and didn’t want to contribute to it in the slightest. I didn’t fully realize the social implications of that. Further, I segregated myself by declining to be in honors classes. I lost touch with a whole lot of the friendships I had made before the tracking began. I retouched base with them at the High School Reunion and was reminded of what I had missed out on. Besides honors students, the most natural fit was oddly band. It was Clint’s friends from band that I got along with the most. The problem was that I wasn’t the least bit musical.
I have a lot of regrets about my socialization in high school. I see so many missed opportunities. Since making friends was difficult, since I had more robust social life apart from the school, and since I didn’t need a whole lot of friends most of the time, I just didn’t extend the effort I could have. Most of the time this didn’t matter, but I look back and shake my head at the times it did. Most particularly, I had no one to sit with at lunch. I don’t know how exactly it happened, but it seemed that every semester I would end up tossed with the 1/3 of the school that I didn’t know. That’s a mild exaggeration as I did have a couple good semesters with Clint and I made do a couple other semesters, but when there are 1,300 people in the cafeteria at any given lunch period, there’s no excuse for ever sitting alone. Or having to sit with a group of people that you really don’t like but are there.
All of this made it so strange that at my high school reunion, I ended up sitting at a random table, introducing myself to a group of people that I didn’t know, and made three friends. When we parted ways I told them that I wish I had known them back in the day. My bad.
Could this be what makes introverts different? Seems credible to this one.
Whether you agree with them or not, the new CAFE regulations may not affect as many cars as we think.
An interesting look at which cities are the top-spending ones and which are at the bottom (excluding housing). It’s interesting, but I don’t know what it’s telling us. A city with affordable housing that allows people to spend more money on other things takes the top of the list while a city with unaffordable housing takes the bottom. However, a city that’s otherwise expensive takes the top and a city with a low cost-of-living takes the bottom. So where is it good to be? If Detroit’s on the bottom, I guess it’s probably better to be on top.
A piece about Google’s business dealings in China delivers a very good point: “Google is not being criticized because they did business in China. Google is being criticized for having moral standards in the first place. If they had just kept their mouths shut and kept their eyes on the bottom line, like every other company in America, there would be no hypocrisy, and the critics would have nothing to complain about. Judging hypocrisy is easy. Judging the morality of doing business in China, well, that would take some real work. We can’t judge people for that because every company, every government and every individual in the world is dependent on China to some degree.”
A bunch of writers list a bunch of do’s and don’ts about writing. Some interesting, albeit contradictory, advice. (Part One, Part Two)
This is a common subject of interest around these here parts. Basically, having an attractive partner makes you more attractive. The results held more true for women than for men. I think a lot of it comes down to the fact that romantic tastes are often subjective, so people are susceptible to outside influences. While there are some physical features that are attractive across cultures, men and women both take cultural cues as to what does and does not constitute attractiveness.
Web and I go back and forth on massive weight loss and how obtainable a goal it is. We’re not going to rehash that right now, but I do think there is something to this. Even if weightloss is as universally possible as Web suggests, the best approach from individual to individual may be radically different. This even leaves aside something that seems to me to be self-evidently true, which is that for a weight-loss program to work an individual has to be able to stick to it and what is a realistic plan for one person may be unrealistic for another (but the latter of whom may have a plan that the first couldn’t accomplish).
If Clancy and I end up staying in Callie, it seems more likely than not I am going to be a stay-at-home dad. So I found this interesting… and disconcerting. There’s a lot to like about Callie. The biggest concern I have so far is social isolation and that’s without considering this.